ext_45296 ([identity profile] packbat.livejournal.com) wrote in [personal profile] packbat 2008-05-31 04:12 pm (UTC)

Technically, it could be that the predictors have merely been lucky one hundred times in a row. I gather that part of the resistance to giving away the thousand is that people believe luck is the more credible explanation than reliable prediction in this case - for example, due to a confidence in libertarian free will (http://plato.stanford.edu/entries/incompatibilism-theories/).

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